Player Analysis: Alphonse Areola — Fulham’s World Cup Winning Goalkeeper

Chun Hang
9 min readMar 4, 2021

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An analysis on World Cup Winner, Alphonse Areola. And yes, he was part of the squad.

From PSG’s bench to Fulham’s Savior

All was well for Alphonse Areola in 2018, he’s just won the domestic treble with PSG as the starting goalkeeper and was part of France’s World Cup winning team as the country’s third choice goalkeeper. Funny enough, he achieved this feat before making his debut for the national team in the Nations League against Germany, keeping a clean sheet which earned him Man of the match in a goalless draw. All this achieved at the young age of 25, which in goalkeeping terms, is still years off his prime. The ceiling was high for the Frenchman and being at PSG, competing with Europe’s elite can only improve the shot-stopper. Areola was living the dream at Paris, playing for the club he’s been apart of since he was 16 and winning domestic trebles season after season.

This soon changed when PSG decided to sign Keylor Navas, which saw Areola traded the other way to Real Madrid on loan as a deputy to Thibaut Courtois, arguably the world’s best goalkeeper at the time. He was never going to get consistent game time under Zidane and spent most of the season on the bench. He made a total of 9 league appearances for Los Blancos in his 1 season stint, a far cry from his days with the Parisians. Come the start of this season, his loan ended and he now has to make a major decision, Navas was comfortably the League’s best goalkeeper last season and would be difficult to dislodge, Areola’s best chances of first team football would have to be elsewhere.

Areola in his Real Madrid warm-up top (via The Real Champs)

Here comes Fulham, fresh from a promotion back to the Premier League in hopes to fend off relegation. The last time they were in the division, the Cottagers conceded 81 goals and finished 19th in the league. Defence has been an issue for many seasons now and they need to invest, if not another relegation could be on the cards. Thankfully, Fulham’s owners are known to be rather ambitious and willing spenders, and when Areola became available, Fulham didn’t think twice and offered him a route to the Premier League to reestablished himself as one of Europe’s top goalkeepers.

Many would think this is career suicide, a World Cup winning goalkeeper leaving Champions League finalist Paris Saint Germain, for a relegation threatened Fulham side, but not Areola. The Frenchman deserves praise and respect more than anything for accepting this proposal, a challenge, perhaps what Areola has been prying for the past few seasons, a different challenge.

League’s Best Keeper?

And a challenge is what he got in the Premier League. After making his debut against Ipswich in a 1–0 win in a EFL cup tie, it took the keeper 2 months to keep another clean sheet and experience victory in the Premier League for the first time against West Brom. Despite conceding goals at a higher rate than he is used to in Ligue 1, he’s had great performances against the likes of West Ham and Crystal Palace, to name a few. The promise is shown but it wasn’t until Fulham changed their system to a back 3 when their defence finally looked decent. From then on, Areola managed to help the team secure 8 clean sheets in the Premier League after 26 games played, already bettering Sergio Rico’s record the last time Fulham were in the league.

The 6’5 keeper not only brought in a sense of calmness and winning mentality from playing in Champions Leagues in his time with PSG and Real Madrid, but his command of area and leadership (alongside Joachim Andersen) is perhaps what Fulham severely lacked in the past seasons or so. Now, Areola has quickly become one of the League’s best goalkeepers as well as the one of the more underrated signings of the seasons. The dashboard below shows Areola’s importance to the Cottagers this season when compared to other goalkeepers from Europe’s top 5 league.

Visualization by Author (@chunhang7)

This analysis will cover Areola’s performance with Fulham this season. All figures below are based on performance per 90 minutes played, according to FBref via StatsBomb.

What Does the Stats Say?

Alphonse Areola has a Post Shot Expected Goals minus Goals Allowed per90 of 0.25, to put it in layman terms, he has prevented an average of 0.25 goals every game this season. In total, the Frenchman is expected to concede 35.2 goals this season but has only conceded 29, meaning he has saved Fulham of 6.2 goals this season, which is crucial in their battle to escape relegation. This is mainly due to the keeper’s brilliant reflexes which have saved Fulham in countless situations. His 77.6% save percentage this season is also amongst the best in Europe. The keeper is light on his feet and extremely agile for a man of his stature, coupled with lighting reflexes, he has denied many opponents in the past. Such example which showcases his brilliant reflexes is the game against Spurs. When Son was played in for a header at point-blank range, Areola brilliantly reacted and tipped it away from goal.

Areola’s cat like reflexes tipping Son’s header from point blank range wide

A great goalkeeper is not only comfortable saving with his hands, but also makes use with his feet. Just like De Gea in his prime, Areola is comfortable with saving with both his legs when reacting to low shots either side of him. In the same game against Spurs, Son got at the end of a cross to score but was brilliantly denied by Areola, as he shifted his body brilliantly to make the save with his foot instead of diving low which would be too late to prevent the ball from going in.

Areola once again, denying Son from point blank by shifting his body position to clear it with his foot

Areola also ranks amongst the best in Europe when it comes to crosses claimed. The 6’5 goalkeeper is an imposing figure, and his size has definitely benefitted him in stopping crosses as effective as he is doing at the moment. With 1.16 crosses stopped per90, only Nick Pope betters him in claiming crosses with 1.24 crosses stopped per90 in the Premier League. This is largely due to his bravery to get amongst the players and claim crosses. His bravery compliments his immense figure, making the keeper a giant bulldozer in front of strikers. In set-pieces and sometimes crosses, Areola have the tendency to come for the ball and attempt to punch it away from the penalty area or even claim it safely if the pace of the ball is slow, this proactive approach to goalkeeping can be rather risky at times, but Areola ensures the ball travels as far as possible with the power he generates.

Areola with the tendency to punch the ball out from crosses or set pieces
Maupay was eventually flagged offside but this shows the bravery and 1v1 abilities Areola possesses

As an old school shot-stopper, Areola has faced a large number of shots on targets per90 with 4.28. This largely down to the quality of players around him and tactics implemented. Despite conceding a high volume of shots on targets per90, Areola has managed to make 3.28 saves per90, placing him in topmost percentile in this metric, not only in the Premier League but amongst keepers from Europe’s top 5 league. Having to face a lot of shots, but at the same time saving a lot of them, is a testament to Areola’s shot stopping abilities. Thus far, the keeper has only conceded 1.16 goals per90, which is respectable considering the volume of shots he faces per game. He ranks amongst the busiest yet most efficient goalkeepers in Europe alongside Nick Pope and Emiliano Martinez.

Areola showing great composure and concentration to deny Brighton with his foot

Perhaps a weakness of Areola is his tendency to parry the ball out instead of catching it fully. In many of the saves he has made, he isn’t as comfortable as he should be when dealing with balls travelling at a fast pace, perhaps due to misjudgment of the situation and poor awareness of strikers lurking in the penalty box. His habit made him pay the game against United where he parried a Bruno Fernandes cross into the feet of Cavani who tucks home the equalizer, a rare error from the Frenchman. Thankfully for Fulham, such errors are not frequent, and he has more than made up for his habit with the miraculous saves he has made over the season.

Cavani pouncing on Areola’s error in failing to catch the ball cleanly

Current World Champion vs Former World Champion

So how does Areola compare amongst the best goalkeepers in the world? I have decided to compare both Areola with Germany and Bayern Munich captain, Manuel Neuer, to see how he fares against the recipient of the Best FIFA Men’s Goalkeeper Award of 2020. The dashboard below will highlight only the crucial shot-stopping attributes including Goals Conceded, Saves, Post-Shot Expected Goals minus Goals Allowed and Crosses Stopped.

Visualization by Author (@chunhang7)

According to the visualization, it would appear that in terms of shot stopping, the Frenchman betters the German in most. Considering the dominant playing style of Bayern Munich, in contrast to the more conservative approach from Fulham, these may explain the stats clearer. Bayern are dominant and normally see the ball more often than opponents, which meant that there is much lesser threat in conceding compared to Fulham’s set up.

With all due respect, the quality of players in Munich are also much better than Fulham’s. The Bavarians just won the Champions League last season whereas Fulham won the playoffs. As such, it is clear that Areola has been the better shot-stopper amongst the two and conceded only 0.23 goals more than Neuer per game, only by a short distance. As mentioned, Areola playing for a weaker side is expected to work much more compared to Neuer as shown by the number of saves he’s made, crosses claimed, and potential goals prevented. If anything, this just proves that Areola is absolutely one of Europe’s top performing keepers in the league this season. If he could keep up his performances, PSG might just regret inserting the option for Fulham to purchase the keeper permanently.

Areola’s Future

Alphonse Areola has proven that he is still one of better goalkeepers in Europe, PSG may live to regret his sale considering Keylor Navas is currenty 34 and not getting any younger. Still only 28, the Frenchman is just about to reach his physical prime in his career and a strong shout has to be made for him to finally dislodge Hugo Lloris as France’s number 1. With Areola, Fulham are slowly but surely gaining momentum, in hopes to escape the relegation zone as the look to overtake Newcastle in the league.

Areola looking with intent (via Get French Football News)

Considering Newcastle’s recent injury misfortunes and Fulham’s upturn in form and consistency, Areola may just lead the London side to safety this season. This could provide them the funds to purchase him on a permanent deal, rumored to be around £10m . If not, his performances thus far would have earned him a move to other clubs in need of a solid starting goalkeeper. With the likes of Tottenham and Dortmund rumored to seek replacements for Lloris and Burki respectively, I see Areola fitting in just perfectly for either teams, but if there is one thing that football has taught us in recent times, it’s that football’s predictably unpredictable.

Twitter: @chunhang7

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Chun Hang

Football Data Analyst | More Vizzes on Twitter @chunhang7